For Conservative Investors: MAXIMUS, Inc. | - Co. Spotlights available via RSS feed
| Here To Help The Governments
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There are no safe havens in the stock market. Every stock carries risk. But some less than others. This column features stocks that have shown one or more of the following characteristics: less volatility, better earnings, larger market caps, safe and increasing dividends. In these times of turmoil, our goal is to show readers better opportunities for investing with fewer risks. | | MMS | $79.31 | Best Features: Demand for its services will only grow as governments need to focus on efficiencies. Watch Out For: 2012 dip in earnings as U.K. programs transition. | 52-wk range | $53-85 | | Beta | 0.60 | | Dividend Yield | 0.9% | | Market Cap. | $1.4B |
June 6, 2011 - MAXIMUS, Inc. (MMS-NYSE) provides operations program management and consulting services to state and local government agencies, federal agencies, and commercial customers primarily in the United States. The company's Operations Segment provides various program management and operations support services for state, federal, and county funded public programs, and focuses on the delivery of administrative services for government health and human services programs, including Medicare, Medicaid, SCHIP, TANF, related workforce services programs, and child support enforcement programs. It also provides assistance to employers in accessing tax credit benefits and advocacy services for youth and disabled persons.
The Consulting Segment provides management and financial consulting services for state and local clients, focusing on services that directly support health and welfare, including health and human services consulting, financial services consulting, payment error rate measurement program services, and third party liability services, as well as fraud, waste, and abuse services. The Consulting segment also provides educational services, including TIENET, a solution to manage instruction, assessment, intervention, and special education cases; and consulting services, technical support, and software tools to higher education institutions. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Reston, Virginia. This stock dodged all the bullets over the last 2 years, increased earnings, and continuously hit new highs. It recently touched $85.14 on May 11, a new all-time high. There's very little that looks like it can stop MMS. Fiscal 2011 ends in September, and estimates are for MMS to finish with a flourish, showing full year's earnings at $4.24, up 17% from $3.62 for 2010. Two analysts expect 2012 to show $4.52. For the about to end June quarter, they see $1.03, up 14% from the 91 cents made in the third quarter of 2010. Reasons for the continued improvement: health services and and human services had 16% and 8% gains in sales respectively in the second quarter and operating margins widened. But the human services group isn't expected to grow as much in the future. The U.K. is transitioning to a new welfare-to-work program. While the company already has 3 new signed contracts for this effort, don't expect full revenue potential (estimated at $80 million) until 2014. In the meantime, current programs are winding down that generate between $35 to $40 million a year. The gap in revenues will also hurt profits that are expected to be $10 million less from this program due to the transition time.
There are several good aspects to this stock for all investors but particularly for Conservative ones. The first is the company is raising the dividend, again. This is the second time in less than a year, taking it to 18 cents a quarter or 72 cents for the full year. Second, there is no debt. That leaves management with flexibility to develop new products, buy other companies or raise the dividend more. Capital expenditures are relatively minor compared to cash flow. Third, there will be a 2 for 1 stock split on June 30. While that doesn't change the value of the stock, it should make it more attractively priced for many investors who are reluctant to buy an $80 stock because they can't buy very much at that level. Also, it will increase the number of shares available to trade which will help liquidity. There are only 17 million shares outstanding. Lastly, the demand for MMS's services should only grow as governments look to lower costs, both in health and employment programs. Everyone knows the global slowdown as decreased tax revenues and that governments, like companies and people, have to get more efficient, more cost conscious when income is less than out flow. That suggests a bright future for MMS. Essential numbers: Trailing P/E is 19 while Forward P/E is 17.55. Price to sales ratio is 1.60. Price to book is 3.62. Operating margin for the last 12 months was 12.98% and Profit margin was 8.64%. Return on equity was 20.93% and Return on assets was 13.41%. Total revenue was $865.28 million. Total cash is $183.15 million for $10.56 a share. Total debt is almost zero at $1.8 million. Current ratio is 2.46. Book value per share is $22.08. There are 17.35 million shares Outstanding with a Float of 17.04 million. Insiders own 1.64% of the stock and Institutions have 100% of the Float. If you like what you see in MMS, you may want to watch it for a while. With the U.K. program in transition and profits expected to be lower from that division next year, there could be an opportunity to buy this stock at better prices if investors get tired of the waiting period to fully recover those profits. On the other hand, since that information is well known, investors with a mind to get out may already have done so. And with the stock split imminent, it could be that MMS continues on its upward trajectory unabated. - Company Web site: www.maximus.com - Ted Allrich |